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November 2004

Europeanisation as a Gravity Model of Democratisation

Much analysis of trends in democratization gives a rather pessimistic message, with such sweeping notions as the end of the third wave of democratization or the democratic transition paradigm. A closer look at what has been happening in Europe, however, suggests that such analyses have often overlooked an important explanatory variable, captured in what we may call a "gravity model". The gravity model of democratization joins up with the mechanisms of Europeanization, with democratization progressing fast and deeply in 20 European states that were recently non-democratic, and which have various integrative relationships with the EU. This paper takes a close look at the "gravity model" and examines the democratization processes in the countries of the former Ottoman Empire and the former Soviet Union.

© 2004 Michael Emerson and Gergana Noutcheva

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Author:

Michael Emerson, Gergana Noutcheva

ISBN/EAN:

92-9079-536-0

Series:

Issue:

214

Note:

This paper includes an appendix that lists the judgements of the European Court of Human Rights in cases involving CIS member-states of the Council of Europe.

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