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Dice on a Map, courtesy of  Derek Gavey
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Planning for a Post-Islamic State Middle East

11 Feb 2016 Security Watch

Georgois Barzukas has no doubts. The way the so-called Islamic State’s (IS) ersatz Caliphate is fought, defeated and ultimately replaced will determine the nature and extent of the conflicts that follow. Indeed, local stakeholders in Turkey, Syria and Iraq are already jostling for position in a post-IS Middle East. More on «Planning for a Post-Islamic State Middle East»


Portrait of Ban Ki-moon, courtesy of World Economic Forum/flickr
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Doing “the Most Difficult Job in the World”: The UN Secretary-General in the Past, Present and Future

11 Feb 2016 Security Watch

The UN Secretary-General’s post and the politics surrounding it receive little analysis. What, exactly, does the role entail? Who will succeed Ban Ki-moon? Will the selection process be fair, or should the 10 reforms advocated by the “1 for 7 Billion” campaign first be enacted? Today, Emma Dwight delves into these questions and others. More on «Doing “the Most Difficult Job in the World”: The UN Secretary-General in the Past, Present and Future »


Abdullah Öcalan, courtesy of Thierry Ehrmann/flickr
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Dreams and Nightmares: Turkey’s Unspoken Drift towards Civil War

10 Feb 2016 Security Watch

According to Gareth Jenkins, the Kurdistan Workers’ Party’s decades-old insurgency against the Turkish state has entered a new and exceptional phase. Unfortunately for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s government and its allies, they don’t have a handle on what Turkey is now facing – an organized form of urban guerilla warfare. More on «Dreams and Nightmares: Turkey’s Unspoken Drift towards Civil War»


SE Asia in the shadows
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The EU and ASEAN in 2016

10 Feb 2016 Security Watch

Why do ASEAN and the EU need to forge a more institutionalized strategic partnership with each other? As Eva Pejsova sees it, Brussels can help boost its Asian counterpart’s pursuit of European-style integration, particularly when it comes to maritime governance, preventive diplomacy and international law. More on «The EU and ASEAN in 2016»