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Will China Collapse?

Pictures in Beijing, courtesy of Dainis Matisons/Flickr
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Pictures in Beijing

When it comes to economic development and geopolitical power, China has indeed come a long way over the past thirty-five years. However, does that mean a ‘Rising China’ is no longer burdened with existential problems that need urgent attention? And is the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) under the leadership of Xi Jinping up to the challenge of managing these problems? In this dossier, we first grapple with these questions by examining Beijing’s current reform agenda, how it’s dealing with interethnic conflict, and why – in the face of sporadic protests – it often bows to citizens’ demands. We then look at the dark side of China’s economic growth and ponder how it might affect its ability to shape global affairs in the future.

Chinese Communism and the 70-Year Itch

16 Dec 2013 / Article

China’s government is approaching an age that is often fatal for single party regimes. Yet, while Larry Diamond warns that a system-wide crisis could occur at any time, the fall of the Chinese Communist Party would be an unwelcome development – both at home and abroad. More on «Chinese Communism and the 70-Year Itch»

China’s New Reforms in Theory and Practice

17 Dec 2013 / Article

Xi Jinping will spearhead the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) latest round of political and economic reforms. So which of the two types will most likely receive higher priority? According to William Overholt, economic reforms will continue to trump real political change well into the future. More on «China’s New Reforms in Theory and Practice»

Fragmented Authoritarianism and Protest Channels

18 Dec 2013 / Special Feature

The Chinese government continues to repress its political opponents. Yet, every now and then Beijing deviates from the script and comes down on the side of the protestors. This, according to Yao Li, reflects the Chinese Communist Party’s determination to maintain social stability at all costs. More on «Fragmented Authoritarianism and Protest Channels»

Ethnic Policy in China: Is Reform Inevitable?

2013 / Publication

Chinese public opinion is gradually coalescing around the idea that Beijing needs to rethink its ethnic policies. So what should we expect and will it decrease the likelihood of further outbreaks of ethnic conflict within the country? Well, don’t hold your breath, warns James Leibold. More on «Ethnic Policy in China: Is Reform Inevitable?»

China: The Dark Side of Growth

20 Dec 2013 / Article

China’s rapid economic development has come at a heavy cost, with severe environmental degradation, widening inequality and other problems pointing towards a troubled future. As Yanzhong Huang sees it, Beijing needs to address these problems now rather than later, especially if it aspires to be a true global power. More on «China: The Dark Side of Growth»

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