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Commerce, Sanctions and Security

Conference held in the UN Security Council, courtesy CSIS PONI/flickr
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Meeting of the UN Security Council

What distinguishes the post-World War I use of economic sanctions from their predecessors is a fundamental shift in understanding – i.e., that they were now going to be used as an alternative to force and violence rather than as a complement to them. Thus, economic sanctions became, as President Woodrow Wilson infamously described them, the "peaceful, deadly, silent remedy" that would eliminate the need for force in resolving future conflicts.

Unsurprisingly, reality initially failed to match expectations. It was the high-profile failure of sanctions to deter the Italian invasion of Ethiopia, for example, that led to the demise of the League of Nations. During the Cold War, in turn, force became the instrument of choice to coerce uncooperative regimes. When sanctions were used at all, as in the cases of South Africa and Rhodesia, they were more designed to appease domestic constituencies or make overt moral-ethical statements than they were to change a regime’s behavior. Indeed, it was not until the 1990s that economic sanctions returned to play a prominent role in international affairs.

However, even though sanctions are now a common tactic used to try and bring problem states back into the international fold, questions persist. Are sanctions useful for anything more than weakening the errant and misguided, and collaterally cooling internal dissent? Do they actually lead to cooperation, or to heel-dragging? Because the answers to these questions (and more) remain as elusive as ever, this week we opted to pose the well-traveled overall question yet again – do sanctions really work?

On Monday, the Peterson Institute's Gary Hufbauer and the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies' Mark Dubowitz tackle the question head-on – with Dubowitz arguing in the affirmative and Hufbauer in the negative. We then provide Dubowitz with some ammunition – i.e., a positive case study of UN Security Council sanctions against Serbia and Montenegro in the early 1990s. (In fact, it’s one of the few cases where the use of sanctions has been unequivocally successful.) On Wednesday, we then look at a much more equivocal example of sanctions. The University of Notre Dame's Dr George Lopez discusses UNSC sanctions against Iraq between 1990 and 2003. Next, the Oxford Research Group's Eskandar Sadeghi-Boroujerdi analyses the many dimensions of current US, EU and Security Council sanctions against Iran. Finally, the GCSP's W Pal Sidhu concludes the week by exploring how sanctions may be used to help combat weapons proliferation in the future.


Economic Sanctions – Do They Work?

05 Nov 2012 / Special Feature

Despite decades of debate, this question remains a contentious one. Today we jump into the fray and feature a range of voices on whether sanctions work or not, including Gary Hufbauer of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and Mark Dubowitz of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies. More on «Economic Sanctions – Do They Work?»


Stratfor on Economic Sanctions

06 Nov 2012 / Special Feature

Economic sanctions are used by stronger states to coerce 'proper behavior' from weaker ones, argues Stratfors's Reva Bhalla. However, she also warns that relying on sanctions alone will lead to failure; additional coercive measures are almost always necessary to achieve one’s political ends. More on «Stratfor on Economic Sanctions»


Successful Sanctions – Serbia and Montenegro, 1992-1995

06 Nov 2012 / Special Feature

Cases where economic sanctions have obviously worked are rare. However, UNSC sanctions against Serbia and Montenegro between 1992 and 1995 may be such a case. According to Victor Comras, they led to the signing of the Dayton Agreement and the end of the Bosnian War. More on «Successful Sanctions – Serbia and Montenegro, 1992-1995»


Iraq Sanctions and the '90's Overhang’

07 Nov 2012 / Audio

UN sanctions against Saddam Hussein's regime had a devastating impact on ordinary Iraqi citizens. But instead of merely condemning their effects, argues George A Lopez, we should look at the lessons we collectively learned from this experience and the reforms that have occurred since then. More on «Iraq Sanctions and the '90's Overhang’»


Sanctioning Iran: Implications and Consequences

08 Nov 2012 / Special Feature

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has staked his political legitimacy on the country’s nuclear development program. This means that sanctions imposed by external actors are unlikely to succeed as long as the present regime remains, or so argues Eskandar Sadeghi-Boroujerdi. More on «Sanctioning Iran: Implications and Consequences»


Weapons Proliferation and Sanctions – Future Opportunities

09 Nov 2012 / Special Feature

Sanctions imposed against Iran and North Korea have failed to curb both states' nuclear programs. W Pal Singh Sidhu argues that the key to more effective sanction regimes may lie with talks that cover a broader range of issues, alongside sanctions that have been endorsed by the entire international system. More on «Weapons Proliferation and Sanctions – Future Opportunities»


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