Central and Horn of Africa - From Stability to Instability
The final installment of our focus upon Africa considers the continent’s most problematic regions. Whenever Central and the Horn of Africa are talked about, the violence and political instability that plague these regions are usually mentioned in the same breath. Central Africa’s long history of political violence and brutality is often attributed to the colonial powers’ decision to divide the region without due regard for social and ethnic coherence. This led to the creation of central African colonies that defied the logic of the region’s ethnic affinities. And more often than not the rule of the colonial powers was marked by extreme brutality. King Leopold’s rule of the Congo, for example, is widely considered to be one of the most brutal periods of the entire colonial era.
Central Africa’s post-colonial history has also been marked by periods of violence and instability. Like its neighbors in Southern and Western Africa, the region has struggled to address a multitude of economic and political problems. This often resulted in the military seizing power or the brutal enforcement of ‘strongman rule’. Further complicating the political and security dynamics of Central Africa has been the flow of migrants across the region that are either fleeing political violence or economic hardship. Indeed, such immigrants in turn complicate ethnic tensions in their host countries, which often results in further violence.
While the Horn of Africa also experienced colonial rule, the region is unique in that its largest country - Ethiopia - has never been formally colonized. Yet Ethiopia has been far from a beacon of regional stability. Instead, Ethiopia’s modern political history has been marked by revolution, Cold War competition and territorial conflict with its neighbors. However, since 1991 Somalia has been inextricably linked with the concept of the failed state. Clan rivalries contributed to the overthrow of then President Siad Barre and resulted in Somalia’s ongoing inability to form a workable political system. Further complicating attempts to form a government in Somalia has been the emergence of Islamist groups who have seized control of parts of the country and closely aligned themselves with al Qaida.
Accordingly, stabilizing Central and the Horn of Africa increasingly matters to the international community. Central Africa is not only home to considerable amounts of natural resources, its sheer size means that the political violence and instability that continues to plague the region is also widespread. Conversely, the Horn of Africa is home to a phenomenon that compromises the security of one of the world’s busiest shipping routes. The absence of authority within Somalia has allowed pirates to target vessels in the Gulf of Aden and beyond. And while both regions play host to military deployments and humanitarian intervention to counter such concerns the common refrain remains unchanged - what has gone wrong in Central and the Horn of Africa?
In order to answer this question we begin by tracing Central and the Horn of Africa’s recent historical march towards instability. What then follows are case studies that highlight the onset of disintegration at the regional level. After considering Kenya and Somalia on Tuesday we turn to the recent separation of Southern Sudan from the rest of the country. In doing so, we ask whether the international community has been partly responsible for the creation of a newly-minted failed state? Indeed, has the creation of Southern Sudan also changed the pattern of disorder and political violence across the region?
We end the week by considering how national and international actors are attempting to bring a semblance of stability to Central and the Horn of Africa. On Thursday we begin by analyzing how international actors have been attempting to address the problems that continue to bedevil both regions. Have their attempts to stabilize Central and the Horn of Africa been entirely successful? To assist in answering this question, we round off the week by analyzing the effectiveness of local attempts to bring peace and security to these most fragile of regions.
Additional Content
- Implementing Peace and Security Architecture (I) (Publication)
Central Africa’s peace and security architecture has run out of steam and looks like an unfinished c...
- A Gendered Perspective on the Impact of Conflict in the Horn of Africa (Publication)
This Policy Note focuses on the gendered consequences of the militarization of the Horn of Africa.
- Countering the Lord’s Resistance Army in Central Africa (Publication)
The Lord's Resistance Army's operations have spread from northern Uganda to cover an expansive terri...
- Al-Qaida's (Mis)Adventures in the Horn of Africa (Publication)
This report provides an analysis of al-Qaida’s operations in the Horn of Africa.
- Covering Post-Conflict Elections (Chapter / Section)
This paper attempts to show the many challenges faced by the media while covering post-conflict elec...
- Climate Conflicts in the Horn of Africa? (Chapter / Section)
This article focuses on the climate change–conflict nexus in the Horn of Africa (HoA) – a region tha...
- Central African Republic: Peacebuilding Without Peace (Publication)
Fifteen years of UN-led peacebuilding efforts in the Central African Republic should have culminated...
- Conflict Prevention in East Africa (Chapter / Section)
The indirect approach used by Combined Joint Task Force–Horn of Africa (CJTF–HOA) is aimed at increa...
- African Adventure? Assessing the European Union’s Military Intervention in Chad and the Central African Republic (Publication)
This paper describes how the proposed EU mission in Chad and the Central African Republic has receiv...
- Critical Factors in the Horn of Africa's Raging Conflicts (Publication)
This Discussion Paper provides a broad overview of the causes, dynamics and ramifications of violent...
- Eritrea: The Siege State (Publication)
The militarism and authoritarianism which now define the political culture in Eritrea have their roo...
- Food Security Bulletin (Publication)
The drought currently hitting the Horn of Africa might be the worst in 60 years.
- Harmonising Small Arms Control Legislation (Publication)
The states of the Great Lakes Region (GLR) and the Horn of Africa (HoA) have been at the forefront o...


