Related Articles for "Forecasting in the ‘Real World’: Near-, Mid- and Long-Term Trend Analysis"
September 2012
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21 Sep 2012
What Are Our Alternative Nuclear Futures?
Can we further cut existing stockpiles of nuclear weapons? Are current non-proliferation initiatives managing to keep nuclear programs peaceful? The Center for Security Studies’ Oliver Thränert tackles these questions while outlining several alternative nuclear futures for a changing global security order. More on «What Are Our Alternative Nuclear Futures?»
June 2012
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28 Jun 2012
China's Leadership and the Likelihood of Change
China is preparing to usher in a new generation of leaders. Just don’t expect too much in the way of change, argues Axel Berkofsky. More on «China's Leadership and the Likelihood of Change» -
12 Jun 2012
The "Dark Side" of the Syrian Transition and its Potentially Dire Regional Consequences
Syria stands on the brink of a civil war that may destabilze the wider Middle East. More on «The "Dark Side" of the Syrian Transition and its Potentially Dire Regional Consequences»
April 2012
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23 April 2012
China: No Longer the Villain
According to its latest projections, the IMF no longer sees China as the main source of imbalances in the global economy. Fears of a stalling Chinese economy are exaggerated; sustained and more balanced Chinese growth will actually be a rare nugget of good news for the global economy. More on «China: No Longer the Villain»
March 2012
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27 Mar 2012
The Strategic Weakening of Debt-Ridden Europe
The debt crisis has hit Europe hard. Many countries have been forced to resort to austerity measures not seen in decades. More on «The Strategic Weakening of Debt-Ridden Europe» -
27 Mar 2012
Africa’s Sore Spot: Regional Conflicts Across the Middle and the Horn
Africa has been climbing up the international policy agenda for some time now, but not fast enough. More on «Africa’s Sore Spot: Regional Conflicts Across the Middle and the Horn»
February 2012
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23 February 2012
Social Democracy and Europe's Crisis
Elections in France in 2012, Germany in 2013, the European elections of 2014 and the ongoing negotiations for the reform of the EU’s multi-annual financial framework for the 2014-2020 period are opportunities. Whether socialists and social democrats will take advantage of them or not, remains to be seen. More on «Social Democracy and Europe's Crisis»
January 2012
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12 January 2012
Al-Qaida: An Open Endgame
There is powerful evidence for the argument that the al-Qaida movement is in decline. But there are other processes at work - including in United States presidential politics - that could yet create a different outcome. More on «Al-Qaida: An Open Endgame»
December 2011
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29 December 2011
Will the Euro Survive 2012?
The coming year could be the make-or-break moment for the embattled eurozone. Europe could either continue on the path of ever-greater integration - or return to being a regional group of rival states. More on «Will the Euro Survive 2012?» -
27 December 2011
2012, the Age of the Citizen
The dramatic citizens' uprisings and protests across the world this year are signals of an emerging era that demands a renewal of democracy itself. More on «2012, the Age of the Citizen»
