China Strategic Perspectives No 6
China’s Forbearance Has Limits: Chinese Threat and Retaliation Signaling and its Implications for a Sino- American Military Confrontation
This paper assesses China's use of threat and retaliation signals to deter adverse military action. In the context of US policy making, the authors consider whether improving military capabilities will lead Beijing to substitute deterrence for sudden or surprise attack strategies. They review China’s prior uses of force, examine its crisis decision making process, and use case studies to assess Beijing’s signaling of intent to employ military coercion during the years 1961–2004.
© 2013 Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS)
Paul H B Godwin, Alice L Miller
Phillip C Saunders