May 2011
The Middle East Academic Community and the "Winter of Arab Discontent"
Why Did We Miss It?
No academic specialist on the Middle East predicted the timing and extent of the region-wide upheavals in the Arab world that began in December 2010 and continue today. Rather, the academic literature missed the 2011 eruption because it was focused (and in many ways rightly so) on explaining the anomalous regime stability that characterized the Arab world in the 40 years leading up to these events.
© 2011 The Henry L. Stimson Center
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F Gregory Gause III
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